When was Georgetown a major program? I think that when you have it all resources and prestige wise to recruit and the results are this poor you do have to look at both recruiting and player development as factors. Duke is highly successful as a program having a bad year. UNC, UVA and Hop there isn't a doubt all have underperformed in the past few years. Hop's late season surge last year bailed them out of missing the NCAA tournament, but due credit they did while also overcoming quite a horrible year off the field. I think if you look at UNC, UVA and Hop over the recent years it is impossible to objectively state they have not slipped. Some is just parity but some is also just these programs not monetizing their great advantages to recruit whomever they want.