The number is clearly high than 5%. It might be closer to 20%.
Kids get plenty of exposure to college coaches with their club, as long as those teams are in the top 50. A few kids go D1 from teams like Severna Park every year.
Public school kids on HoCo elite clubs is likely 5-10%. My son is on one with 0 public school kids. Once those kids are on the older elite teams they'll get huge pressure from hs coaches and the other parents to also go private. There are some who will stay public and they'll get the same exposure at club tournaments as the other kids so they should be fine. I think they may lose some development missing the competition at Spring practices that you'd get at a high level private school. There are 5-10 public school kids a year that go D1 from the DMV so it can be done.
