clearly the longer u wait the better chance of making the right decision but u risk losing ur spot to the next kid -many (not all) of the top schools use 10-11 spots on young commits and keep 1-2 spots for misses a year or 2 later - early commits are playing the odds IMO - even older hs players make wrong decisions - calling out young players for committing is taking blame off of the D1 coaches - they have changed the way the game is played and players are responding to the best odds for the the best school they can perhaps attend - if i commit to an ivy and do not get in then i suspect another strong school will be waiting in the wings just not A IVY......