All early recruiting is so stupid, there was a big swing already from top kids in 9th grade, and the top kids in 10th grade the list did not stay the same, and there will be another Big swing next year, my kid was 5'4 in 9th and 5"8 end of 10th.The movie we been watching is at intermission, the ending is very hard to predict at this point.
It's funny how I'm sure every single college coach will agree with you, but there they are at JR Rising Freshmen. The biggest mistakes in recruiting/scouting in any sport usually occur in undervaluing highly skilled but undersized players or overvaluing size. But yet, the cycle continues.
This reminds me of Red Auerbach's old axiom, "you can't teach height".