Food for thought from another thread:
For what it's worth, here's a little anecdotal info on early recruiting from the 2017 recruits listed on laxpower.
School cut off in NYS is December. Most recruits are public school kids.
New [lacrosse] State has 77 commits in 2017
In the hold back, grade repeat, re-class States of MD, PA, DC and VA combined, 76 commits.
You make your own deductions...