The point is no one knows who is going to be a great college Lax player. I am sure the Math is the same for kids they find there Sr. year. They D1 schools get 50 or more trys to find 18 studs every year. Its a numbers game its better for them to guess on 9th graders and then wait and pick up the late growers. If there college rosters where 25 kids they would have to do it your way. but they are not and this is the best way for them to do it.